Talks of a recession in the United States economy has been discussed by many over the years as this cycle has been the longest bull market in history without having a recession. The economy has been booming since the last economic recession during 2009.
The below graphic will show the reader that the economy has always fell into recession when the 3 month treasury rate yields more than the 10 year treasury rate. This is displayed historically with recessions shaded in gray.
The federal reserve now has a recession probability of 35% happening by September 2020.
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